Man City had long looked destined to seal the title with games to spare such was their advantage at the top of the table.
But with Liverpool dropping only six points from a possible 54 in 2022 and City dropping 11 from 51, Jurgen Klopp‘s side have reduced the gap to a single point ahead of Sunday’s final game.
Klopp’s side need to hold up their end of the bargain while hoping for a favour from an old friend, but just what are the permutations for how the title is to be decided?
For Liverpool to win
We’ll look at this in the most simplistic of ways, rather than with crazy scoreline possibilities that could conjure up a playoff match between the two teams.
Liverpool have 89 points to their name, one behind City and an inferior goal difference (-6).
They can win the league if either of these events occur:
- 1. Win vs. Wolves PLUS Man City draw or lose vs. Aston Villa
- 2. Draw vs. Wolves PLUS Man City loses vs. Aston Villa AND goal difference flips in LFC’s favour
But it’s safe to say, option one looks Liverpool’s best chance and the onus is on them to at least ask the question of City by picking up three points against Wolves.
For Man City to win
Man City have 90 points to their name and a superior goal difference (+6).
They are clearly in the driver’s seat and can wrap up the title with a:
- 1. Win vs. Aston Villa
- 2. Draw vs. Villa PLUS Liverpool draw vs. Wolves
- 3. Liverpool lose vs. Wolves
In total this season, Man City have dropped points on nine occasions, compared to Liverpool’s 10, and the question is if they have another misstep in them when the pressure is on.
And we don’t have long to find out.